Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.191388 0.217888 0.246332 0.279087 0.315719 0.355373 0.401501
2025-12-07 0.153843 0.188800 0.228846 0.277948 0.336353 0.403415 0.486051
2025-12-14 0.127710 0.167285 0.215237 0.277259 0.354956 0.448638 0.569668
2025-12-21 0.108529 0.150712 0.204442 0.277282 0.372744 0.492801 0.654298
2025-12-28 0.095446 0.139704 0.198651 0.281967 0.395570 0.543776 0.750211
2026-01-04 0.085840 0.131818 0.195589 0.289163 0.421343 0.599464 0.855281
2026-01-11 0.076425 0.122813 0.189654 0.291228 0.439483 0.645317 0.949329
2026-01-18 0.069733 0.116855 0.187175 0.297501 0.463375 0.699931 1.058173
2026-01-25 0.064350 0.112160 0.185879 0.305016 0.489094 0.758142 1.174995
2026-02-01 0.057759 0.104700 0.179468 0.303882 0.501330 0.796917 1.265137
2026-02-08 0.052075 0.098031 0.173543 0.302740 0.513044 0.835059 1.355832
2026-02-15 0.047025 0.091831 0.167703 0.301032 0.523383 0.871219 1.444904
2026-02-22 0.043846 0.088703 0.166887 0.307828 0.548337 0.932274 1.577297
2026-03-01 0.039863 0.083638 0.162227 0.307635 0.561618 0.975437 1.683691
2026-03-08 0.036332 0.078997 0.157839 0.307443 0.574697 1.018770 1.792417
2026-03-15 0.033262 0.074882 0.153979 0.307769 0.588501 1.063804 1.905985
2026-03-22 0.031141 0.072422 0.152946 0.313078 0.611258 1.124859 2.049067
2026-03-29 0.029528 0.070821 0.153379 0.321075 0.639211 1.196053 2.212574
2026-04-05 0.027428 0.067922 0.150973 0.323392 0.656788 1.249976 2.348788
2026-04-12 0.025987 0.066303 0.150966 0.330312 0.683243 1.320685 2.517348
2026-04-19 0.024786 0.065081 0.151644 0.338583 0.712656 1.397974 2.700873
2026-04-26 0.022824 0.061852 0.147800 0.337344 0.723568 1.442119 2.826924
2026-05-03 0.021044 0.058833 0.144113 0.336094 0.734262 1.486202 2.954611